Superdelegate tipping point?

Monday, March 31st, 2008

seesaw.jpg

According to Alex Koppelman, Salon’s campaign blogger, Obama has pulled down public pledges from 64 superdelegates since Super Tuesday, including promised endorsements from all of North Carolina’s seven Democratic members of Congress. Koppelman says Clinton has received only nine endorsements in the same period.

Since February, superdelegates have been suggesting they will end the Obama-Clinton death match before the Democratic National Convention convenes in August by eventually pledging in a critical mass for one of the candidates. The question has been when: When will the tipping point arrive where enough party heavyweights come to believe one of the candidates has demonstrably earned the right to the nomination? It seems we’re at last coming close to that point.

The recent decision by the Democratic Party not to hold re-votes in Michigan and Florida, which violated party rules by moving up their primary election dates, seriously eroded all winning scenarios painted by the Clinton team in recent weeks.

In addition, formerly avowed neutral Congress people have started stepping up. This week Minnesota senator Amy Klobuchar and Pennsylvania senator Bob Casey both endorsed Obama, telling the Wall Street Journal that they were seeking an end to the increasingly negative primary campaign.

This week, despite the bluster, Hillary may be feeling a lot like she wishes she felt under the sniper fire she has pretended was popping all around her on the tarmac in Bosnia, where YouTube shows her standing around grinning with her daughter and Sinbad and the Bosnian girl with the flowers.

A future tour of historic N’awlins

Monday, March 31st, 2008

nawlins-toshio.jpg

NEW ORLEANS, 2055
(after Republicans sweep the 2008 elections)

“Welcome, ladies and gentlemen, to the official tour of historic New Orleans. This exact replica of an old-style trolley-car will begin its route through the famed, and infamous, French Quarter very soon. But first, some facts about this grand old Southern city. Can anyone tell me anything about the history of this city?”

“They held the Mardi Gras here.”

“Correct, and there is a still a Mardi Gras remembrance celebration right here on George W. Bush Boulevard— formerly called Bourbon Street— every year. Anything else.”

“Wasn’t there a controversy over renaming the street?”

“No controversy, really. Under President Jeb Bush, the State Church proclaimed in 2019 that street names celebrating decadence were not appropriate to one of our most historic places.”

“It was port where black slaves were sold to white people.”

“Now, young man, as you know, the 2028 Proclamation of Colorblindness signed by President Jenna Bush makes clear that slaves came in all colors, and that slavery means many things. A slave to the land is the same as a slave in chains. One more. Anything else?”

“The city was washed away in a flood early this century.”

“Correct. And the Father of New Orleans saved the citizens from great hardships during the flood. You’ll see a grand statue of Father George W. Bush on the tour, which stands as an eternal testament to his great leadership during that crisis.”

“Didn’t a lot of black people once live in this city?”

“We don’t separate people by color anymore. It is, in fact, against the law.”

“Right, but wasn’t there a major upheaval after the flood that led to the precursors of the Proclamation of Colorblindness?”

“(Sigh) It is well-documented historical fact that in the mid-late 20th century, the communists instigated what was Orwellianly called the ‘Civil Rights Movement’ to drive a wedge between different types of citizens by convincing some of the most gullible that they had been treated unfairly. We all know that America is founded on “justice for all,” so unfair treatment of any group is impossible. Impossible. After Great Leader Ronald Reagan defeated the communists, it was only a matter of time before the last vestiges of the unequal rights cabal was also defeated. But they had one last ‘hurrah’ after the great Hurricane Katrina, culminating in an attempt to inject the toxic topic of race, which we have now transcended, into the 2008 presidential election by nominating a self-described “black man” for president! Imagine! For crushing that cabal, the people showed their appreciation by making the Republicans the Official Party of the United States… Now, let’s begin the tour…”

“I’m sorry, I have one more question.”

“I’m afraid we have a schedule to keep. The French Quarter is one of the oldest parts of this city, and the one area that was completely recreated after the great flood. Look. On the right you’ll see the old-fashioned minstrel character that has brought joy and laughter to millions since the founding of our country… Look. The minstrel has his hand to his ear. What’s he trying to tell us? Wait. Listen. Can you hear that? It’s the sound of music they called jazz. Though rarely heard today, it’s one of the musical forms, along with blues, that has faded from American life.”

“But didn’t that happen after they consolidated the media into one single company?”

“Sir, please don’t interrupt. As we turn the corner, we’ll see a recreation of some of the areas that were not rebuilt after the floods. On the right, you’ll see one of the charming, long, narrow ‘shotgun houses.’ It was jokingly said that the name occurred because you could shoot a gun through the front door and hit everyone in the house. Ha ha ha. However, the residents loved the old world charm of the dwellings and foolishly chose to rent them instead of owning their own homes on higher ground. Thus, many were flooded out and lost everything.”

“Weren’t they poor?”

“Sir, as it says as the mother of the Bush Dynasty has said, ‘poverty is a lifestyle choice.’”

“Weren’t most of them black?”

“SECURITY!”

——
Leonce Gaiter’s work on social and cultural issues has appeared in numerous publications, from the Los Angeles Times to the New York Times magazine. His noir novel Bourbon Street was published by Carroll & Graf.

New Orleans Flickr: Toshio

The “so” and the smirk

Thursday, March 27th, 2008

Cheney:
1) The economy? It’s going through a rough patch after 52 months of growth.
2) The wars? The surge is working.
3) Public opinion? So what.

Check it out, though, he’s wearing that flag pin!

The pain

Monday, March 24th, 2008

thepain.jpg

Superdelegates, in all of their deliberations, must certainly be considering the following:

The Clinton campaign claims that Hillary’s win in Ohio and her lead in Pennsylvania signal that she is more likely than Obama to win in a general election. These state’s constituents include large percentages of the kind of white working class voters who have so far favored her over Obama and whom her campaign says the Democrats must draw in large numbers if they hope to win in November. But does this argument hold, if we factor in the large numbers of Republicans who have cast and will be casting votes for Hillary in those states and who will not be casting them for her in the fall? According to the Boston Globe last week, about 100,000 GOP loyalists voted for Hillary in Ohio, 119,000 in Texas, and about 38,000 in Mississippi.

Weigh those stats against the popular vote figures. According to the New York Times, Hillary won her big comeback victory in Ohio by 200,000 votes. But now it is clear that half of those votes were the votes of Republican spoilers. In Texas, her lead was 100,000 votes. In other words, she lost Texas to Obama both in the final tally of pledged delegates but also, minus Limbaugh’s ditto head spoilers, in the final tally of “true” Democratic votes.

Before the Hillary campaign really heats up in Pennsylvania and starts running the 3 a.m. phone call ads and all the rest, turning voters there away from Obama, doing the work of McCain, wouldn’t it be best to send an unmistakable and unspinnable message to Hillary that now is the time to concede if anything of what she stands for is to be gained in the next four years? Someone please end the pain!

Fleeing Tibet

Sunday, March 23rd, 2008

tenzin032.jpg

This account was sent to me by Christa Grenawalt, who is traveling in India right now. Recently, she spent several weeks studying under the Dali Lama. She also participated in marches there supporting Tibetan monks who are protesting Chinese persecution of monks in Lhasa, Tibet. While Christa was sitting in a café near Dharamsala, Tenzin gave her his story of fleeing China in 2000.

Some background: In 1959, the Chinese occupied Tibet and the Dali Lama was forced to flee to India. Since the beginning of March, monks in Lhasa have been staging huge demonstrations calling for more Tibetan autonomy. Reports detailing a harsh crackdown by Chinese authorities, including bloodshed, have been filed by some journalists. But because of state censorship, very few media reports of the situation have made it into the western world.

– JB Powell

*****
“My name is Kunchok Tenzin. I was born in 1981 in the Khansu province, Shahog County in Tibet. I became a monk at the Lhabrang Monastery near Lhasa when I was 14 years old.

In 1997, I had to undertake the Patriotic Re-education Campaign started by the Chinese government. Monks are made to denounce his holiness the Dali Lama as a separatist. Many Tibetans are arrested and do not denounce His Holiness. They are often not released and sent to work in labor camps; on the roads, railway, fallen trees or elsewhere.

On top of that, I was only 17 at the time. As part of the Campaign, any monk under the age of 18 was forced to leave the monastery ending the education of young monks. Due to these difficult circumstances, I decided to come to India with a pure aim to receive blessings from the Dali Lama and pursue education. I was not able to tell anyone about my plan to go to India, including my parents.

(more…)