working class

P+P@The DNC: Ohio Delegates Share the Secret To Winning in the Heartland

Friday, August 29th, 2008

The Midwest is ground zero for the election. It’s rural, urban, blue collar, moderate, unionized, independent…and will make the difference between winning and losing.

Whichever candidate wins Ohio is going to win the election. It’s true this year and it’s been true every election since 1896 (with one exception in 1944).

Much is made of Obama’s ability to get the vote out, and Ohio is no different.

“Obama has 300 people on the ground, John Kerry had 16,” said Sally Powless an Ohio delegate from Toledo and a member of AFSCME. ”Kerry went in 17 counties and Barack is going to go after all of them. You can’t just go in urban areas, you have to get support everywhere.”

Some of the loudest applause at the Democratic convention came with rhetoric tailored to the middle class. Other lines that targeted Exxon-Mobil or companies that ship jobs overseas brought delegations to their feet.

So when Obama says he will cut taxes for 95 percent of working families, it’s a reaction to the lay of the land in places like Ohio.

“So many plants have been closed down,” said Jane Ragland, another Ohio delegate from rural Chillicothe about 46 miles south of Columbus. ”We in rural areas have the manpower and we’re in need of employment.”

So when Obama spoke of his heroes like the “woman [who] talk[s] about the difficulties of starting her own business, I think about my grandmother, who worked her way up from the secretarial pool to middle-management, despite years of being passed over for promotions because she was a woman,” he’s relating to the personal experiences of blue collar and women voters.

The personal touch is working.

“I know how he feels,” Ragland said. “I know the stumbling blocks he had before he got to be where he’s at. If he can raise above the odds, we all can. That’s what he has to get across.”

And that message is resonating in Iowa, Gov. Chet Culver said in an interview.

“He’s just got to do what he’s been doing across the county and spread his message,” he said. “It’s a historic moment to see the torch passed to the next generation of American leaders,” and Iowans are looking forward to it.

Hang all the pollsters!

Thursday, January 10th, 2008

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What happened? Barack Obama’s win in Iowa generated a widespread sense of pride, the press reporting all variety of “man on the street” testimonials to feelings of optimism in the wake of the victory. Whatever we all personally thought of Obama as a candidate, his winning in the 95 percent white rural state strongly suggested that Americans had moved beyond stereotype positions on race, and that the country, in effect, was moving away from intense race politics as well. More specifically, the Iowa victory seemed to put to rest concerns that, as a black candidate for president, he couldn’t win because white people wouldn’t vote for him and neither would black people because they thought white people wouldn’t and so they figured they’d be wasting their vote— or, worse, that his success might end in his being assassinated and that would be too much to bear. Those bleak scenarios were suddenly behind us; the Obama campaign unbelievably seeming to have cleared the race hurdle in a single bound.

Obama’s amazing close-second finish in New Hampshire is now somehow turning all of that positive thinking around. Not because he didn’t win but because projection-polling was off: pollsters reported widely that Obama was going to win by a comfortable margin, something like 8 percent, but they got it wrong, and the reason, as reported across the major media outlets, is likely due to race. As Andrew Kohut, president of the Pew research Center, puts it in a New York Times op-ed: poorer, less-educated white folks don’t take polling surveys and, when they do, lie to cover for racist views or leanings or instincts or whatever.

In fact, Hillary won in New Hampshire at least partly because she courted the young working class vote. Obama drew the university crowds and Clinton the blue-collar kids. Clinton will say her victory was not about race but about the economy, that she’s tacking now the way her husband did to win against Bush the First, a victorious wartime president, by focusing convincingly on “the economy, stupid.”

That’s great. Job creation, benefits, a living wage, retraining programs, affordable education, even immigration—these are huge issues on which it would be great to see the two candidates face off on in depth going forward. Less great is that now, however it plays out, whatever they say on these issues will be reported on some level in the press as coded talk for race— as if we needed any further reasons to hate polling.

What happened? How did we get back to square one so quickly?

The sell

Friday, November 9th, 2007

In 1979, according to history books and some of the people who were alive back then, Ronald Reagan, with that folksy Hollywood brand he had going, somehow convinced working class Americans that the Republican party was looking out for their interests as well as the interests of their millionaire bosses. Suddenly the guys who owned and ran the factories with their suits and power ties and the guys and gals who filed into them every day with their lunchboxes and hard hats were all on the same team: everybody was Reagan Republicans, cuz it was morning in America and he was good looking and patriotic and he slashed taxes and corporate oversight and busted unions and all the factories closed down and moved away and now we alls work at Wal-Mart.

That’s one version of the story, anyway. Barack Obama makes quick unarticulated reference to that history in this ad. Obama may be the anti-Reagan, opposite in every way, but similarly able to redefine the debate and maybe win back the people that got fooled in that long long ago.